Cartoon Cat
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$98.10
98.1 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $88.27 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
33.88%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
9.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 4 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1055, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$98.1098.1 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · RestrictedRassel$98.1098.1 CSGOBIG_COIN$4.074.07 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New)weapon · covert$98.1098.1 CSGOBIG_COIN$106106 CSGOBIG_COIN1.08x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $98.10 | 89.98% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.1%covert 37.5%classified 10.0%Restricted 20.0%#B0C3D9 32.4%best hit —