Dragon Dip

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$380.56
381 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $342.50 from 20 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
9.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 23
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.7%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 10,000$42.1K 42,076 CSGOBIG_COIN1.2%00.0—
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 3,333$22.9K 22,899 CSGOBIG_COIN2.0%00.0—
★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald1 in 2,000$16.7K 16,718 CSGOBIG_COIN2.4%00.0—
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby1 in 667$14.7K 14,711 CSGOBIG_COIN6.4%00.0—
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 500$9,739 9,739 CSGOBIG_COIN5.7%00.0—
Sticker | compLexity Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 400$7,013 7,013 CSGOBIG_COIN5.1%00.0—
Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high1 in 333$5,975 5,975 CSGOBIG_COIN5.2%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl1 in 250$3,885 3,885 CSGOBIG_COIN4.5%00.0—
★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 250$3,457 3,457 CSGOBIG_COIN4.0%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 200$2,932 2,932 CSGOBIG_COIN4.3%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 200$2,665 2,665 CSGOBIG_COIN3.9%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 200$1,815 1,815 CSGOBIG_COIN2.6%00.0—
★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · legendary1 in 100$1,297 1,297 CSGOBIG_COIN3.8%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · epic1 in 100$985 985 CSGOBIG_COIN2.9%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 20$722 722 CSGOBIG_COIN10.5%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 14$484 484 CSGOBIG_COIN9.9%00.0—
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New)weapon · covert17.0%$392 392 CSGOBIG_COIN19.4%00.0—
★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary15.0%$95.22 95.22 CSGOBIG_COIN4.2%00.0—
Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)weapon · classified25.0%$23.83 23.83 CSGOBIG_COIN1.7%00.0—
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D925.7%$0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%00.0—
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1057, 11 Nov, 12:47 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$38190.00%20
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedremarkable 0.3%extraordinary 15.4%covert 30.8%high 0.3%covert knife 0.5%legendary 1.0%epic 1.0%classified 25.0%#B0C3D9 25.7%