Magic Cube

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$75.00

75 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.05%

EV $67.54 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d

69.83%

7 openings, odds method

Variance

2.2×

of price², per opening

Tail share

15.1%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

74.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

1 openings · below min

7 days

7 openings · below min

30 days

7 openings · below min

since tracking started

7 openings · below min

-0.5%157.3%315.0%

Small sample. 7 openings and 1.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	1	26.00%±288.3	—	odds
7d	7	69.83%±109.0	—	odds
30d	7	69.83%±109.0	—	odds
All	7	69.83%±109.0	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$4,760 4,760 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.7%	0	0.0	—
★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Factory New)gloves · legendary	1 in 10,000	$2,952 2,952 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$1,785 1,785 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.3%	0	0.0	—
★ Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,090	$1,046 1,046 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 50	$493 493 CSGOBIG_COIN	14.6%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 22	$294 294 CSGOBIG_COIN	19.8%	0	0.3	—
AWP \| Snake Camo (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 12	$147 147 CSGOBIG_COIN	18.2%	0	0.6	—
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	10.4%	$91.18 91.18 CSGOBIG_COIN	14.1%	2	0.7	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 20	$73.09 73.09 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.4%	1	0.4	—
AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	14.5%	$48.36 48.36 CSGOBIG_COIN	10.4%	1	1.0	0.98×
Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Factory New)weapon · restricted	14.5%	$29.05 29.05 CSGOBIG_COIN	6.2%	1	1.0	0.99×
PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Factory New)weapon · restricted	13.6%	$19.50 19.5 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.9%	1	1.0	—
Sticker \| Complexity Gaming (Gold) \| Antwerp 2022sticker · #EB4B4B	1 in 11	$14.24 14.24 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.9%	1	0.6	—
Souvenir USP-S \| Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted	1 in 12	$10.98 10.98 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.3%	0	0.6	—
CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 10	$8.61 8.61 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.2%	0	0.7	—

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1066, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New)weapon · restricted$75.0075 CSGOBIG_COIN$19.5019.5 CSGOBIG_COIN0.26x11h

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$75.0075 CSGOBIG_COIN$91.1891.18 CSGOBIG_COIN1.22x1d

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knifeda ander$75.0075 CSGOBIG_COIN$91.1891.18 CSGOBIG_COIN1.22x1d

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$75.0075 CSGOBIG_COIN$73.0973.09 CSGOBIG_COIN0.97x1d

Sticker | Complexity Gaming (Gold) | Antwerp 2022sticker · #EB4B4B$75.0075 CSGOBIG_COIN$14.2414.24 CSGOBIG_COIN0.19x1d

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$75.0075 CSGOBIG_COIN$48.3648.36 CSGOBIG_COIN0.64x1d

Galil AR | CAUTION! (Factory New)weapon · restrictedda ander$75.0075 CSGOBIG_COIN$29.0529.05 CSGOBIG_COIN0.39x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.05%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$75.00	90.05%	15

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 26.2%legendary 0.0%mil spec 8.4%covert knife 10.4%restricted 28.1%#EB4B4B 9.1%Restricted 8.0%classified 9.7%best hit —