Strike

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$90.00
90 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.04%
EV $81.04 from 20 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
10.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
32.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
59.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 10,000$16.9K 16,892 CSGOBIG_COIN2.1%00.0—
M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)weapon · contraband1 in 3,333$9,649 9,649 CSGOBIG_COIN3.6%00.0—
AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 2,000$5,947 5,947 CSGOBIG_COIN3.7%00.0—
★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 2,000$4,205 4,205 CSGOBIG_COIN2.6%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby1 in 2,000$1,678 1,678 CSGOBIG_COIN1.0%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 1,000$869 869 CSGOBIG_COIN1.1%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B1 in 1,070$235 235 CSGOBIG_COIN0.3%00.0—
Souvenir Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · restricted1 in 22$175 175 CSGOBIG_COIN10.0%00.0—
Sticker | KSCERATO (Gold) | Katowice 2019sticker · #EB4B4B15.0%$139 139 CSGOBIG_COIN25.6%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife12.7%$114 114 CSGOBIG_COIN17.9%00.0—
★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 13$94.56 94.56 CSGOBIG_COIN9.2%00.0—
Souvenir Galil AR | Cerberus (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted1 in 14$74.33 74.33 CSGOBIG_COIN6.5%00.0—
Souvenir FAMAS | Styx (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · restricted1 in 17$57.05 57.05 CSGOBIG_COIN4.1%00.0—
Sticker | qikert (Gold) | Katowice 2019sticker · #EB4B4B1 in 21$43.48 43.48 CSGOBIG_COIN2.5%00.0—
M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 27$35.24 35.24 CSGOBIG_COIN1.6%00.0—
Sticker | Natus Vincere (Foil) | Krakow 2017sticker · #D32CE61 in 36$29.25 29.25 CSGOBIG_COIN1.0%00.0—
M4A1-S | Player Two (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 47$24.69 24.69 CSGOBIG_COIN0.6%00.0—
Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff1 in 84$21.06 21.06 CSGOBIG_COIN0.3%00.0—
P250 | Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 111$18.19 18.19 CSGOBIG_COIN0.2%00.0—
AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Factory New)weapon · Mythical31.1%$15.87 15.87 CSGOBIG_COIN6.1%00.0—
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1075, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$90.0090.04%20
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 0.0%contraband 0.0%covert 10.1%legendary 0.1%covert knife 12.8%#EB4B4B 19.7%restricted 10.5%Restricted 7.1%Legendary 3.7%#D32CE6 2.8%#8847ff 1.2%industrial 0.9%Mythical 31.1%