The Office

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$105.25

105 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

89.96%

EV $94.69 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d

67.91%

6 openings, odds method

Variance

3.1×

of price², per opening

Tail share

22.3%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

77.7%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

6 openings · below min

30 days

6 openings · below min

since tracking started

6 openings · below min

-0.5%105.0%210.5%

Small sample. 6 openings and 1.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	6	67.91%±141.8	—	odds
30d	6	67.91%±141.8	—	odds
All	6	67.91%±141.8	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$4,825 4,825 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.5%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| 3DMAX (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable	1 in 10,000	$4,052 4,052 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 2,500	$3,277 3,277 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,250	$2,985 2,985 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary	1 in 1,000	$2,438 2,438 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.6%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 769	$1,991 1,991 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.7%	0	0.0	—
★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 667	$1,343 1,343 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.1%	0	0.0	—
★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,041	$1,041 1,041 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 500	$982 982 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.1%	0	0.0	—
★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 400	$679 679 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.8%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 200	$357 357 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.9%	0	0.0	—
Souvenir USP-S \| Night Ops (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec	1 in 23	$293 293 CSGOBIG_COIN	13.4%	0	0.3	—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	16.4%	$147 147 CSGOBIG_COIN	25.5%	2	1.0	—
MP9 \| Stained Glass (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	20.6%	$90.87 90.87 CSGOBIG_COIN	19.7%	0	1.2	0.00×
Sticker \| PENTA Sports (Holo) \| Katowice 2015sticker · remarkable	23.6%	$48.30 48.3 CSGOBIG_COIN	12.0%	1	1.4	0.71×
Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Grade	33.5%	$29.01 29.01 CSGOBIG_COIN	10.3%	3	2.0	1.49×

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1076, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$105105 CSGOBIG_COIN$147147 CSGOBIG_COIN1.39x2d

Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Grade$105105 CSGOBIG_COIN$29.0129.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.28x2d

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$105105 CSGOBIG_COIN$147147 CSGOBIG_COIN1.39x2d

Sticker | PENTA Sports (Holo) | Katowice 2015sticker · remarkable$105105 CSGOBIG_COIN$48.3048.3 CSGOBIG_COIN0.46x2d

Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Grade| $15k LB + 100% RB$105105 CSGOBIG_COIN$29.0129.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.28x2d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.96%

No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$105	89.96%	16

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 1.0%remarkable 23.6%legendary 0.1%covert knife 16.6%extraordinary 0.1%classified 0.2%mil spec 4.3%restricted 20.6%Industrial Grade 33.5%best hit —