Blockwork

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$165.25

165 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.05%

EV $148.81 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d

49.40%

6 openings, odds method

Variance

7.5×

of price², per opening

Tail share

15.2%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

84.8%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

6 openings · below min

30 days

6 openings · below min

since tracking started

6 openings · below min

-0.5%134.3%269.0%

Small sample. 6 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	6	49.40%±218.8	—	odds
30d	6	49.40%±218.8	—	odds
All	6	49.40%±218.8	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 10,000	$19.3K 19,284 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.3%	0	0.0	—
AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 5,000	$14.3K 14,306 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.9%	0	0.0	—
AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)weapon · legendary	1 in 2,500	$10.7K 10,659 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.9%	0	0.0	—
★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$6,542 6,542 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.2%	0	0.0	—
M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 1,667	$4,348 4,348 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 1,111	$3,463 3,463 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.1%	0	0.0	—
★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$2,665 2,665 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.8%	0	0.0	—
AWP \| Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 833	$2,090 2,090 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.7%	0	0.0	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 667	$1,804 1,804 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.8%	0	0.0	—
AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 500	$1,402 1,402 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.9%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| Howling Dawnsticker · contraband	1 in 400	$1,094 1,094 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn)knife · gold	1 in 84	$1,035 1,035 CSGOBIG_COIN	8.3%	0	0.1	—
★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2	1 in 286	$891 891 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.1%	0	0.0	—
USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 200	$698 698 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.3%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 200	$426 426 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	11.6%	$293 293 CSGOBIG_COIN	22.7%	0	0.7	—
★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	17.9%	$146 146 CSGOBIG_COIN	17.6%	2	1.1	1.86×
AK-47 \| First Class (Factory New)weapon · restricted	20.5%	$90.76 90.76 CSGOBIG_COIN	12.5%	1	1.2	0.81×
Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Cologne 2016sticker · Mythical	21.8%	$48.04 48.04 CSGOBIG_COIN	7.0%	1	1.3	0.77×
Autograph Capsule \| Challengers (Foil) \| MLG Columbus 2016other · #B0C3D9	24.6%	$29.00 29 CSGOBIG_COIN	4.8%	2	1.5	1.35×

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1077, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$165165 CSGOBIG_COIN$146146 CSGOBIG_COIN0.89x3d

Autograph Capsule | Challengers (Foil) | MLG Columbus 2016other · #B0C3D9$165165 CSGOBIG_COIN$29.0029 CSGOBIG_COIN0.18x3d

AK-47 | First Class (Factory New)weapon · restricted$165165 CSGOBIG_COIN$90.7690.76 CSGOBIG_COIN0.55x5d

Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Cologne 2016sticker · Mythical$165165 CSGOBIG_COIN$48.0448.04 CSGOBIG_COIN0.29x5d

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$165165 CSGOBIG_COIN$146146 CSGOBIG_COIN0.89x5d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.05%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$165	90.05%	20

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 1.9%legendary 0.0%extraordinary 18.1%classified 0.1%covert knife 11.7%contraband 0.3%gold 1.2%restricted 20.5%Mythical 21.8%#B0C3D9 24.6%best hit —