5% Pulsar
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$246.60
247 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $221.92 from 19 items
Observed RTP, 30d
41.18%
27 openings, odds method
Variance
34.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 83
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 27 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 27 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1088, 11 Nov, 12:47 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · RubyHeaded$247247 CSGOBIG_COIN$2,6882,688 CSGOBIG_COIN10.90x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $247 | 89.99% | 19 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbase 0.1%extraordinary 0.1%covert 3.2%contraband 0.2%classified 0.4%legendary 0.5%Covert 0.5%exotic 50.0%#4B69FF 45.0%#B0C3D9 0.0%best hit $2,688 (10.90x)