Tankster
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$31.83
31.83 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.12%
EV $28.69 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.41%
6 openings, odds method
Variance
23.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
89.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 6 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1103, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Well-Worn)weapon · classified$31.8331.83 CSGOBIG_COIN$8.618.61 CSGOBIG_COIN0.27x
Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$31.8331.83 CSGOBIG_COIN$10.9810.98 CSGOBIG_COIN0.34x
PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New)weapon · restricted$31.8331.83 CSGOBIG_COIN$19.5019.5 CSGOBIG_COIN0.61x
Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$31.8331.83 CSGOBIG_COIN$10.9810.98 CSGOBIG_COIN0.34x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$31.8331.83 CSGOBIG_COIN$91.0791.07 CSGOBIG_COIN2.86x
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Well-Worn)weapon · classifiedLouisInRussian$31.8331.83 CSGOBIG_COIN$8.618.61 CSGOBIG_COIN0.27x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.12%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $31.83 | 90.12% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 7.1%extraordinary 0.1%base 0.1%restricted 21.9%covert knife 2.7%#EB4B4B 17.2%Restricted 22.4%classified 28.5%best hit —