Enigma Crate
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$200.00
200 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $180.00 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
31.73%
6 openings, odds method
Variance
35.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 100
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 6 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear)gloves · legendary | 1 in 100 | $12K 12,000 CSGOBIG_COIN | 66.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Freehand (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert | 10.6% | $337 337 CSGOBIG_COIN | 19.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| Sticker | v4lde (Foil) | London 2018sticker · #8847FF | 1 in 28 | $143 143 CSGOBIG_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| Galil AR | Aqua Terrace (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec | 17.7% | $95.00 95 CSGOBIG_COIN | 9.3% | 4 | 1.1 | 3.77× |
| MAC-10 | Tatter (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted | 24.7% | $9.00 9 CSGOBIG_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec | 21.2% | $0.38 0.38 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.0% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.57× |
| Negev | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare | 1 in 14 | $0.19 0.19 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| M249 | Gator Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial | 14.1% | $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=112, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Galil AR | Aqua Terrace (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$200200 CSGOBIG_COIN$95.0095 CSGOBIG_COIN0.48x
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$200200 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.380.38 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$200200 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.380.38 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
Galil AR | Aqua Terrace (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$200200 CSGOBIG_COIN$95.0095 CSGOBIG_COIN0.48x
Galil AR | Aqua Terrace (Field-Tested)weapon · mil specgabiiinos$200200 CSGOBIG_COIN$95.0095 CSGOBIG_COIN0.48x
Galil AR | Aqua Terrace (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$200200 CSGOBIG_COIN$95.0095 CSGOBIG_COIN0.48x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $200 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 1.0%covert 10.6%#8847FF 3.5%mil spec 17.7%restricted 24.7%milspec 21.2%Rare 7.1%Industrial 14.1%best hit —