Powerhare

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$60.50

60.5 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $54.45 from 13 items

Observed RTP, 30d

35.37%

5 openings, odds method

Variance

68.2×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 50

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

75.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

5 openings · below min

30 days

5 openings · below min

since tracking started

5 openings · below min

-0.5%379.8%760.0%

Small sample. 5 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	5	35.37%±724.1	—	odds
30d	5	35.37%±724.1	—	odds
All	5	35.37%±724.1	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 1,000	$15.3K 15,250 CSGOBIG_COIN	28.0%	0	0.0	—
AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 500	$2,250 2,250 CSGOBIG_COIN	8.3%	0	0.0	—
★ Talon Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · epic	1 in 333	$1,250 1,250 CSGOBIG_COIN	6.9%	0	0.0	—
★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 250	$600 600 CSGOBIG_COIN	4.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Bayonet \| Stained (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 100	$360 360 CSGOBIG_COIN	6.6%	0	0.1	—
★ Nomad Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New)knife · covert knife	1 in 100	$230 230 CSGOBIG_COIN	4.2%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 50	$165 165 CSGOBIG_COIN	6.1%	0	0.1	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Factory New)knife · gold	1 in 33	$115 115 CSGOBIG_COIN	6.3%	0	0.1	—
AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 14	$95.00 95 CSGOBIG_COIN	12.2%	1	0.4	—
M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Factory New)weapon · covert	10.0%	$72.00 72 CSGOBIG_COIN	13.2%	0	0.5	—
CZ75-Auto \| Tread Plate (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	20.0%	$5.00 5 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.8%	2	1.0	2.00×
SG 553 \| Pulse (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted	25.0%	$3.00 3 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.4%	0	1.3	0.00×
Sticker \| GamerLegion (Holo) \| Copenhagen 2024sticker · Legendary	30.0%	$1.00 1 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.6%	2	1.5	1.33×

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1163, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Sticker | GamerLegion (Holo) | Copenhagen 2024sticker · Legendary$60.5060.5 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.001 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x2d

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff$60.5060.5 CSGOBIG_COIN$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN0.08x2d

AWP | Asiimov (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$60.5060.5 CSGOBIG_COIN$95.0095 CSGOBIG_COIN1.57x6d

Sticker | GamerLegion (Holo) | Copenhagen 2024sticker · Legendary$60.5060.5 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.001 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x6d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$60.50	90.00%	13

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 0.1%covert 18.6%epic 0.3%covert knife 3.0%gold 3.0%#8847ff 20.0%Restricted 25.0%Legendary 30.0%best hit —