Sunrise Blast
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$45.80
45.8 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.01%
EV $41.22 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
57.50%
3 openings, odds method
Variance
19.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 37
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 3 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1166, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF$45.8045.8 CSGOBIG_COIN$4.004 CSGOBIG_COIN0.09x
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertMexi$45.8045.8 CSGOBIG_COIN$52.0052 CSGOBIG_COIN1.14x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.01%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $45.80 | 90.01% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 17.6%extraordinary 2.6%legendary 0.5%#EB4B4B 1.0%covert knife 2.0%pink 2.0%remarkable 10.0%Rare 15.0%#8847FF 49.3%best hit —