Royal Gem
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$32.88
32.88 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.05%
EV $29.61 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
44.62%
2 openings, odds method
Variance
10.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
89.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 2 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1172, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
SSG 08 | Tropical Storm (Minimal Wear)weapon · #5E98D9$32.8832.88 CSGOBIG_COIN$20.3020.3 CSGOBIG_COIN0.62x
London 2018 Returning Challengers Autograph Capsulecontainer · #B0C3D9$32.8832.88 CSGOBIG_COIN$9.049.04 CSGOBIG_COIN0.27x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.05%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $32.88 | 90.05% | 11 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.2%classified 22.6%extraordinary 0.9%exotic 1.7%#D32CE6 2.8%restricted 5.0%#d32ee6 8.5%#5E98D9 12.6%mil spec 17.3%#B0C3D9 28.4%best hit —