Blooming Quest

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$76.29
76.29 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.05%
EV $68.70 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
2.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
17.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,000$2,680 2,680 CSGOBIG_COIN3.9%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald1 in 500$1,375 1,375 CSGOBIG_COIN4.0%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 921$991 991 CSGOBIG_COIN1.6%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 15$291 291 CSGOBIG_COIN28.1%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 10$147 147 CSGOBIG_COIN21.3%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife12.0%$92.47 92.47 CSGOBIG_COIN16.2%00.0—
Sticker | apEX (Foil) | Cologne 2016sticker · exotic15.0%$49.75 49.75 CSGOBIG_COIN10.9%00.0—
USP-S | Blueprint (Factory New)weapon · mil spec14.6%$29.70 29.7 CSGOBIG_COIN6.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 10$19.90 19.9 CSGOBIG_COIN2.9%00.0—
SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)weapon · pink1 in 11$14.53 14.53 CSGOBIG_COIN1.9%00.0—
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted1 in 13$11.21 11.21 CSGOBIG_COIN1.3%00.0—
M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 15$8.81 8.81 CSGOBIG_COIN0.8%00.0—
MAC-10 | Propaganda (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee61 in 12$6.98 6.98 CSGOBIG_COIN0.8%00.0—
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1173, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$76.2990.05%13
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 0.1%covert 6.9%covert knife 28.6%exotic 15.0%mil spec 14.6%restricted 10.0%pink 8.9%Restricted 7.7%#d32ee6 8.1%