Cheetos

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$175.23
175 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.06%
EV $157.80 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
24.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.9%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary1 in 2,000$33.9K 33,931 CSGOBIG_COIN10.8%00.0—
AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 1,000$10.5K 10,504 CSGOBIG_COIN6.7%00.0—
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 1,000$5,250 5,250 CSGOBIG_COIN3.3%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 22$890 890 CSGOBIG_COIN26.0%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B11.3%$286 286 CSGOBIG_COIN20.4%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)knife · #ffd70015.9%$147 147 CSGOBIG_COIN14.8%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert15.6%$94.00 94 CSGOBIG_COIN9.3%00.0—
Sealed Graffiti | Recoil AWP (Blood Red)graffiti · #B0C3D911.3%$51.63 51.63 CSGOBIG_COIN3.7%00.0—
SCAR-20 | Splash Jam (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified10.7%$31.00 31 CSGOBIG_COIN2.1%00.0—
Sticker | HooXi (Gold) | Paris 2023sticker · #EB4B4B1 in 10$20.85 20.85 CSGOBIG_COIN1.3%00.0—
Brigadier General Pinpin · extraordinary1 in 12$15.20 15.2 CSGOBIG_COIN0.8%00.0—
Souvenir MP9 | Dark Age (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec1 in 15$11.71 11.71 CSGOBIG_COIN0.5%00.0—
Autograph Capsule | Fnatic | Atlanta 2017other · #B0C3D91 in 17$9.29 9.29 CSGOBIG_COIN0.3%00.0—
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1186, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$17590.06%13
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 0.1%covert 20.5%#EB4B4B 20.8%#ffd700 15.9%#B0C3D9 17.2%classified 10.7%extraordinary 8.2%mil spec 6.8%