Maneki Neko
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$63.55
63.55 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.97%
EV $57.17 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
64.67%
3 openings, odds method
Variance
148.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 3 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1194, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
AK-47 | Head Shot (Well-Worn)weapon · AncientMexi$63.5563.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$53.7453.74 CSGOBIG_COIN0.85x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.97%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $63.55 | 89.97% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedremarkable 0.0%covert 23.6%sunny 8.7%Ancient 14.1%violet 14.1%extraordinary 9.8%classified 29.6%best hit —