1% Wild Jungle

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$150.00

150 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $135.00 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d

18.60%

19 openings, odds method

Variance

62.0×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 100

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

93.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

2 openings · below min

7 days

18 openings · below min

30 days

19 openings · below min

since tracking started

19 openings · below min

-0.5%546.5%1093.5%

Small sample. 19 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	2	1.21%±1091.5	—	odds
7d	18	13.90%±363.8	—	odds
30d	19	18.60%±354.1	—	odds
All	19	18.60%±354.1	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 19 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New)weapon · legendary	1 in 100	$11.9K 11,883 CSGOBIG_COIN	88.0%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 17	$155 155 CSGOBIG_COIN	6.9%	2	1.1	1.75×
AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 11	$48.36 48.36 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.2%	4	1.7	2.34×
StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Tiger Moth (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	16.5%	$7.49 7.49 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.9%	1	3.1	0.32×
StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 13	$5.97 5.97 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.3%	0	1.4	0.00×
G3SG1 \| Orange Kimono (Field-Tested)weapon · #B0C3D9	1 in 33	$2.21 2.21 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	0	0.6	—
Five-SeveN \| Jungle (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer	10.5%	$1.96 1.96 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.2%	2	2.0	1.00×
PP-Bizon \| Chemical Green (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	13.5%	$1.95 1.95 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.2%	4	2.6	1.56×
Five-SeveN \| Jungle (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer	15.0%	$1.67 1.67 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.2%	4	2.8	1.40×
Negev \| Nuclear Waste (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 22	$1.41 1.41 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	1	0.9	—
R8 Revolver \| Inlay (Minimal Wear)weapon · Common	12.0%	$0.07 0.07 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	1	2.3	0.44×
Nova \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer	1 in 67	$0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	0	0.3	—

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=120, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Five-SeveN | Jungle (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.671.67 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x4h

PP-Bizon | Chemical Green (Well-Worn)weapon · industrialOpsisinsanity$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.951.95 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x4h

Five-SeveN | Jungle (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.671.67 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x3d

R8 Revolver | Inlay (Minimal Wear)weapon · Common$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.070.07 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x3d

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$48.3648.36 CSGOBIG_COIN0.32x3d

Five-SeveN | Jungle (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.961.96 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x3d

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$7.497.49 CSGOBIG_COIN0.05x4d

Five-SeveN | Jungle (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.961.96 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x4d

★ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · covert$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$155155 CSGOBIG_COIN1.03x4d

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$48.3648.36 CSGOBIG_COIN0.32x4d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$150	90.00%	12

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 1.0%covert 15.0%restricted 24.0%#B0C3D9 3.0%consumer 27.0%industrial 18.0%Common 12.0%best hit —