Seaside
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$42.55
42.55 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.03%
EV $38.31 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.69%
6 openings, odds method
Variance
33.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
18.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 6 openings and 1.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1201, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New)weapon · classified$42.5542.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$60.1860.18 CSGOBIG_COIN1.41x
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$42.5542.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$35.8635.86 CSGOBIG_COIN0.84x
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ce6$42.5542.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$7.427.42 CSGOBIG_COIN0.17x
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ce6da ander$42.5542.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$7.427.42 CSGOBIG_COIN0.17x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.03%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $42.55 | 90.03% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed6 7.7%covert 9.9%knifes 0.7%classified 30.1%restricted 12.5%extraordinary 11.1%#D32CE6 5.0%#d32ce6 23.0%best hit —