Peach

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$72.44
72.44 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.93%
EV $65.15 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
4.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,000$2,707 2,707 CSGOBIG_COIN4.2%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | POW! (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 106$1,047 1,047 CSGOBIG_COIN15.2%00.0—
★ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 19$294 294 CSGOBIG_COIN23.7%00.0—
AWP | Snake Camo (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 12$147 147 CSGOBIG_COIN18.4%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife10.2%$91.19 91.19 CSGOBIG_COIN14.2%00.0—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Serum (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified13.1%$48.38 48.38 CSGOBIG_COIN9.7%00.0—
Cmdr. Davida 'Goggles' Fernandez | SEAL Frogmanagent · red13.0%$29.07 29.07 CSGOBIG_COIN5.8%00.0—
Sticker | disco doplan (Foil) | Atlanta 2017sticker · #D32CE612.2%$19.51 19.51 CSGOBIG_COIN3.7%00.0—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Covert1 in 12$14.25 14.25 CSGOBIG_COIN1.8%00.0—
Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted1 in 14$10.98 10.98 CSGOBIG_COIN1.2%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 16$8.61 8.61 CSGOBIG_COIN0.8%00.0—
FAMAS | Spitfire (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 18$6.80 6.8 CSGOBIG_COIN0.6%00.0—
Combine Helmet Pinpin · #4B69FF1 in 21$5.42 5.42 CSGOBIG_COIN0.4%00.0—
Antwerp 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Packagecontainer · #B0C3D91 in 20$4.34 4.34 CSGOBIG_COIN0.3%00.0—
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1208, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$72.4489.93%14
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 5.4%extraordinary 0.9%mil spec 8.2%covert knife 10.2%classified 19.4%red 13.0%#D32CE6 12.2%Covert 8.2%Restricted 7.2%restricted 5.5%#4B69FF 4.8%#B0C3D9 5.1%