Crimson Bloodlust
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$150.00
150 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $135.00 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
66.39%
6 openings, odds method
Variance
35.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
27.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 6 openings and 1.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=121, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.871.87 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
Sticker | Quantum Bellator Fire (Holo) | Boston 2018sticker · #8847FF$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$5.295.29 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x
★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert knife$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$322322 CSGOBIG_COIN2.15x
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$260260 CSGOBIG_COIN1.74x
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.871.87 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
P250 | Muertos (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classifiedwankywobbles$150150 CSGOBIG_COIN$5.725.72 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $150 | 90.00% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 7.7%covert knife 27.2%#ffd700 9.1%extraordinary 16.6%classified 6.1%#8847FF 1.5%industrial 7.6%restricted 10.6%mil spec 13.6%best hit —