Game Point
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$115.44
115 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.03%
EV $103.93 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
19.97%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
101.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 227
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 4 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1221, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | MLG Columbus 2016sticker · remarkable$115115 CSGOBIG_COIN$30.9130.91 CSGOBIG_COIN0.27x
Sealed Graffiti | Recoil PP-Bizon (Jungle Green)graffiti · base$115115 CSGOBIG_COIN$15.1915.19 CSGOBIG_COIN0.13x
Sealed Graffiti | Recoil PP-Bizon (Jungle Green)graffiti · base$115115 CSGOBIG_COIN$15.1915.19 CSGOBIG_COIN0.13x
Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | MLG Columbus 2016sticker · remarkableBUYhighSELLlow$115115 CSGOBIG_COIN$30.9130.91 CSGOBIG_COIN0.27x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.03%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $115 | 90.03% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedremarkable 15.9%extraordinary 15.1%covert 18.9%high 0.1%epic 0.1%#B0C3D9 14.1%base 35.8%best hit —