Ring Rush

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$95.33

95.33 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.03%

EV $85.83 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d

56.57%

16 openings, odds method

Variance

49.2×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 24

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

95.9%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

7 openings · below min

30 days

16 openings · below min

since tracking started

16 openings · below min

-0.5%289.3%579.0%

Small sample. 16 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	7	58.58%±519.8	—	odds
30d	16	56.57%±343.8	—	odds
All	16	56.57%±343.8	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable	1 in 2,000	$23.7K 23,706 CSGOBIG_COIN	13.8%	0	0.0	—
AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New)weapon · legendary	1 in 2,000	$14.2K 14,157 CSGOBIG_COIN	8.2%	0	0.0	—
AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 1,250	$6,147 6,147 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.7%	0	0.0	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 1,000	$4,282 4,282 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.0%	0	0.0	—
★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 1,000	$2,656 2,656 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.1%	0	0.0	—
AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 500	$1,820 1,820 CSGOBIG_COIN	4.2%	0	0.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · epic	1 in 400	$1,343 1,343 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.9%	0	0.0	—
★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 400	$1,097 1,097 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.2%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Phase 1	1 in 1,107	$935 935 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.0%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 1,064	$288 288 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.3%	0	0.0	—
★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 35	$147 147 CSGOBIG_COIN	4.9%	0	0.5	—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	16.5%	$93.12 93.12 CSGOBIG_COIN	17.9%	6	2.6	2.27×
USP-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Ancient	22.4%	$50.77 50.77 CSGOBIG_COIN	13.3%	3	3.6	0.84×
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Flux (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	16.9%	$30.20 30.2 CSGOBIG_COIN	6.0%	1	2.7	0.37×
Sticker \| Fnatic \| DreamHack 2014sticker · #4B69FF	40.0%	$20.26 20.26 CSGOBIG_COIN	9.4%	6	6.4	0.94×

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1222, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Sticker | Fnatic | DreamHack 2014sticker · #4B69FFRassel$95.3395.33 CSGOBIG_COIN$20.2620.26 CSGOBIG_COIN0.21x1d

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$95.3395.33 CSGOBIG_COIN$93.1293.12 CSGOBIG_COIN0.98x1d

USP-S | Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Ancient$95.3395.33 CSGOBIG_COIN$50.7750.77 CSGOBIG_COIN0.53x1d

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$95.3395.33 CSGOBIG_COIN$93.1293.12 CSGOBIG_COIN0.98x1d

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$95.3395.33 CSGOBIG_COIN$93.1293.12 CSGOBIG_COIN0.98x3d

Sticker | Fnatic | DreamHack 2014sticker · #4B69FF$95.3395.33 CSGOBIG_COIN$20.2620.26 CSGOBIG_COIN0.21x3d

Sticker | Fnatic | DreamHack 2014sticker · #4B69FFMexi$95.3395.33 CSGOBIG_COIN$20.2620.26 CSGOBIG_COIN0.21x3d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.03%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$95.33	90.03%	15

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedremarkable 0.1%legendary 0.1%covert 3.4%extraordinary 0.2%epic 0.3%#EB4B4B 0.1%covert knife 16.6%Ancient 22.4%classified 16.9%#4B69FF 40.0%best hit —