Bone Collector
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$14.55
14.55 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.05%
EV $13.10 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.09%
32 openings, odds method
Variance
11.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 34
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 32 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 32 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1224, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Uncharted (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff$14.5514.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.593.59 CSGOBIG_COIN0.25x
StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$14.5514.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.380.38 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Uncharted (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff$14.5514.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.593.59 CSGOBIG_COIN0.25x
Sticker | Renegades (Holo) | Katowice 2019sticker · Mythical$14.5514.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.371.37 CSGOBIG_COIN0.09x
Sticker | Renegades (Holo) | Katowice 2019sticker · Mythical$14.5514.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.371.37 CSGOBIG_COIN0.09x
Sticker | FURIA (Glitter) | Rio 2022sticker · #8847FF$14.5514.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.150.15 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Uncharted (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff$14.5514.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.593.59 CSGOBIG_COIN0.25x
Sticker | STYKO (Foil) | London 2018sticker · #8847ff$14.5514.55 CSGOBIG_COIN$8.688.68 CSGOBIG_COIN0.60x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.05%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $14.55 | 90.05% | 13 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 3.0%#d32ee6 8.7%#8847ff 14.6%#4b69ff 20.4%mil spec 13.9%Mythical 10.6%#4B69FF 11.1%milspec 8.7%Base Grade 6.1%#8847FF 2.9%best hit —