Blocks
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1.34
1.34 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.93%
EV $1.21 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
120.65%
15 openings, odds method
Variance
9.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 15 openings and 3.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1233, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sticker | sdy (Glitter) | Paris 2023sticker · #8847FFxQuixer$1.341.34 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.130.13 CSGOBIG_COIN0.10x
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF$1.341.34 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.263.26 CSGOBIG_COIN2.43x
R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New)weapon · #B0C3D9$1.341.34 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.140.14 CSGOBIG_COIN0.10x
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF$1.341.34 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.263.26 CSGOBIG_COIN2.43x
Sticker | sdy (Glitter) | Paris 2023sticker · #8847FF$1.341.34 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.130.13 CSGOBIG_COIN0.10x
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF$1.341.34 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.263.26 CSGOBIG_COIN2.43x
MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · #5E98D9$1.341.34 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.502.5 CSGOBIG_COIN1.87x
R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New)weapon · #B0C3D9$1.341.34 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.140.14 CSGOBIG_COIN0.10x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.93%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.34 | 89.93% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%#4B69FF 39.9%#5E98D9 10.6%Rare 13.4%#B0C3D9 17.9%#8847FF 18.1%best hit —