SHEESH Chronicles
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$100.00
100 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $89.99 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
8.69%
16 openings, odds method
Variance
83.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 333
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
93.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 16 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=124, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | Atlanta 2017sticker · remarkable$100100 CSGOBIG_COIN$41.7641.76 CSGOBIG_COIN0.42x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspecDefault Name$100100 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.760.76 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | Atlanta 2017sticker · remarkable$100100 CSGOBIG_COIN$41.7641.76 CSGOBIG_COIN0.42x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $100 | 89.99% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 6.9%remarkable 8.9%Exotic 15.5%Mil Spec 19.9%milspec 31.0%restricted 4.4%#B0C3D9 11.1%consumer 2.2%best hit —