Bronze Age
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$15.00
15 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $13.50 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
113.30%
8 openings, odds method
Variance
4.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 8 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=128, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ffDick to small to Fit$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.630.63 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x
Desert Eagle | The Bronze (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.700.7 CSGOBIG_COIN0.05x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.830.83 CSGOBIG_COIN0.06x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.830.83 CSGOBIG_COIN0.06x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.392.39 CSGOBIG_COIN0.16x
Desert Eagle | The Bronze (Factory New)weapon · light blue$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.690.69 CSGOBIG_COIN0.05x
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$128128 CSGOBIG_COIN8.50x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$15.0015 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.392.39 CSGOBIG_COIN0.16x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $15.00 | 90.00% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 14.1%milspec 30.7%Mil Spec Grade 11.7%mil spec 9.0%Uncommon 3.6%light blue 12.6%industrial 2.7%#4b69ff 15.4%best hit —