Indigo Coffin
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$3.00
3 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.01%
EV $2.70 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.89%
93 openings, odds method
Variance
7.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 93 openings and 4.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 93 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=134, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$3.003 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.400.4 CSGOBIG_COIN0.13x
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspecDefault Name$3.003 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.400.4 CSGOBIG_COIN0.13x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.01%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.00 | 90.01% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#B0C3D9 9.3%#8847FF 6.4%violet 8.5%#777777 12.6%#8847ff 29.4%milspec 16.8%#4b69ff 14.7%consumer 2.2%best hit —