Rosewood
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2.00
2 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.05%
EV $1.80 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.06%
39 openings, odds method
Variance
5.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 39 openings and 4.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 39 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=136, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$2.002 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.160.16 CSGOBIG_COIN0.08x
StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$2.002 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.270.27 CSGOBIG_COIN0.14x
Souvenir AUG | Spalted Wood (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9$2.002 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.150.15 CSGOBIG_COIN0.08x
Souvenir AUG | Spalted Wood (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · industrial$2.002 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.100.1 CSGOBIG_COIN0.05x
Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New)weapon · mil specDefault Name$2.002 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.250.25 CSGOBIG_COIN0.13x
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9$2.002 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.080.08 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$2.002 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.160.16 CSGOBIG_COIN0.08x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.05%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.00 | 90.05% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#8847FF 2.0%restricted 11.9%Industrial 1.5%milspec 16.3%mil spec 14.8%industrial 10.4%Industrial Grade 10.4%#5E98D9 20.8%#4B69FF 11.9%best hit —