Price
$88.00
88 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $79.20 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
114.18%
44 openings, odds method
Variance
6.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 44 openings and 4.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 44 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 200 | $1,933 1,933 CSGOBIG_COIN | 12.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 1 in 67 | $1,380 1,380 CSGOBIG_COIN | 26.1% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| ★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 11 | $207 207 CSGOBIG_COIN | 23.5% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.76× |
| ★ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife | 1 in 11 | $198 198 CSGOBIG_COIN | 22.5% | 10 | 4.0 | 2.53× |
| Souvenir AK-47 | Safety Net (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted | 20.0% | $52.00 52 CSGOBIG_COIN | 13.1% | 7 | 8.8 | 0.80× |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Uncharted (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec | 60.0% | $3.30 3.3 CSGOBIG_COIN | 2.5% | 23 | 26.4 | 0.87× |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=142, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$88.0088 CSGOBIG_COIN$1,3801,380 CSGOBIG_COIN15.68x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryCalz$88.0088 CSGOBIG_COIN$207207 CSGOBIG_COIN2.35x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Uncharted (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$88.0088 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.303.3 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x
★ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife$88.0088 CSGOBIG_COIN$198198 CSGOBIG_COIN2.25x
Souvenir AK-47 | Safety Net (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$88.0088 CSGOBIG_COIN$52.0052 CSGOBIG_COIN0.59x
★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$88.0088 CSGOBIG_COIN$207207 CSGOBIG_COIN2.35x
★ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife$88.0088 CSGOBIG_COIN$198198 CSGOBIG_COIN2.25x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Uncharted (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$88.0088 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.303.3 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x
Souvenir AK-47 | Safety Net (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · RestrictedXi ShitPing$88.0088 CSGOBIG_COIN$52.0052 CSGOBIG_COIN0.59x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Uncharted (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$88.0088 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.303.3 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x
★ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knifeXi ShitPing$88.0088 CSGOBIG_COIN$198198 CSGOBIG_COIN2.25x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $88.00 | 89.99% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 9.5%classified 1.5%covert knife 9.0%Restricted 20.0%mil spec 60.0%best hit $1,380 (15.68x)