10% Enchanted Emporium

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$1,845.00

1,845 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $1,660.50 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d

142.20%

20 openings, odds method

Variance

26.2×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 33

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

90.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

6 openings · below min

7 days

20 openings · below min

30 days

20 openings · below min

since tracking started

20 openings · below min

-0.5%205.0%410.5%

Small sample. 20 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	6	0.14%±409.6	—	odds
7d	20	142.20%±224.3	—	odds
30d	20	142.20%±224.3	—	odds
All	20	142.20%±224.3	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert	1 in 1,000	$232K 232,000 CSGOBIG_COIN	14.0%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · legendary	1 in 1,000	$91.3K 91,350 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.5%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · legendary	1 in 1,000	$89.1K 89,066 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.4%	0	0.0	—
Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · covert	1 in 1,000	$52.8K 52,754 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.2%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · legendary	1 in 1,000	$47.6K 47,595 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.9%	0	0.0	—
Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · covert	1 in 1,000	$41.1K 41,107 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.5%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable	1 in 1,000	$27.4K 27,389 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.6%	0	0.0	—
★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 333	$22.3K 22,319 CSGOBIG_COIN	4.0%	0	0.1	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire	1 in 100	$17.5K 17,525 CSGOBIG_COIN	10.6%	0	0.2	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald	1 in 100	$17.2K 17,196 CSGOBIG_COIN	10.4%	2	0.2	—
AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 100	$12K 12,014 CSGOBIG_COIN	7.2%	1	0.2	—
AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 100	$11.9K 11,933 CSGOBIG_COIN	7.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear)gloves · legendary	1 in 100	$11.6K 11,576 CSGOBIG_COIN	7.0%	0	0.2	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 100	$11.1K 11,068 CSGOBIG_COIN	6.7%	0	0.2	—
AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)weapon · legendary	1 in 100	$9,134 9,134 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.5%	0	0.2	—
M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New)weapon · contraband	1 in 100	$6,022 6,022 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.6%	1	0.2	—
AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 100	$4,521 4,521 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.7%	0	0.2	—
FAMAS \| Valence (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	90.0%	$2.66 2.66 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.1%	16	18.0	0.89×

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=169, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · EmeraldAndypsx$1,8451,845 CSGOBIG_COIN$17.2K17,196 CSGOBIG_COIN9.32x1d

★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$1,8451,845 CSGOBIG_COIN$17.2K17,196 CSGOBIG_COIN9.32x1d

AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)weapon · covert$1,8451,845 CSGOBIG_COIN$12K12,014 CSGOBIG_COIN6.51x1d

M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)weapon · contraband$1,8451,845 CSGOBIG_COIN$6,0226,022 CSGOBIG_COIN3.26x2d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1,8451,845 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.662.66 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x12h

FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedSOARES DY MAMAE -CAMISA DÉS$1,8451,845 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.662.66 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x12h

FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1,8451,845 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.662.66 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x12h

FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1,8451,845 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.662.66 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x1d

AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)weapon · covert$1,8451,845 CSGOBIG_COIN$12K12,014 CSGOBIG_COIN6.51x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$1,845	90.00%	18

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 6.3%legendary 2.3%remarkable 0.1%extraordinary 0.3%contraband 1.0%restricted 90.0%best hit $17.2K (9.32x)