The Goodlife

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$28.00

28 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $25.20 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d

50.71%

44 openings, odds method

Variance

9.8×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 14

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

88.2%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

29 openings · below min

7 days

43 openings · below min

30 days

44 openings · below min

since tracking started

44 openings · below min

-0.5%78.8%158.0%

Small sample. 44 openings and 3.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	29	43.37%±114.2	—	odds
7d	43	51.61%±93.8	—	odds
30d	44	50.71%±92.7	—	odds
All	44	50.71%±92.7	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 44 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · legendary	1 in 2,000	$2,000 2,000 CSGOBIG_COIN	4.0%	0	0.0	—
★ Talon Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · epic	1 in 1,000	$1,245 1,245 CSGOBIG_COIN	4.9%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$1,200 1,200 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.4%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 333	$445 445 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.3%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 200	$300 300 CSGOBIG_COIN	6.0%	0	0.2	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700	1 in 200	$280 280 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.6%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 18	$202 202 CSGOBIG_COIN	45.2%	2	2.5	0.81×
★ Huntsman Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 36	$98.92 98.92 CSGOBIG_COIN	11.1%	0	1.2	0.00×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 53	$50.91 50.91 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.8%	1	0.8	—
P90 \| Sunset Lily (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 21	$12.36 12.36 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.3%	4	2.1	1.94×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 13	$7.40 7.4 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.2%	5	3.3	1.51×
Sticker \| aizy \| Krakow 2017sticker · #4B69FF	13.1%	$6.39 6.39 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.3%	5	5.8	0.87×
SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 11	$4.88 4.88 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.8%	4	4.1	0.97×
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Guerrilla (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec	1 in 12	$3.38 3.38 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.1%	7	3.7	1.88×
MAC-10 \| Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer	1 in 27	$1.51 1.51 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.2%	1	1.7	0.61×
UMP-45 \| Scaffold (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	10.3%	$1.44 1.44 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.6%	2	4.5	0.44×
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Blueprint (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 15	$0.42 0.42 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.1%	2	2.9	0.69×
Sticker \| KSCERATO (Glitter) \| Rio 2022sticker · #8847FF	11.3%	$0.34 0.34 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.2%	7	5.0	1.41×
Sticker \| buster \| Antwerp 2022sticker · #4B69FF	1 in 106	$0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	1	0.4	—
Sticker \| JACKZ \| Stockholm 2021sticker · #4B69FF	12.2%	$0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	3	5.4	0.56×

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=17, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

StatTrak™ AWP | Worm God (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$28.0028 CSGOBIG_COIN$7.407.4 CSGOBIG_COIN0.26x7h

StatTrak™ MP7 | Guerrilla (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec$28.0028 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.383.38 CSGOBIG_COIN0.12x7h

Sticker | aizy | Krakow 2017sticker · #4B69FF$28.0028 CSGOBIG_COIN$6.396.39 CSGOBIG_COIN0.23x7h

Sticker | KSCERATO (Glitter) | Rio 2022sticker · #8847FF$28.0028 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.340.34 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x10h

Sticker | JACKZ | Stockholm 2021sticker · #4B69FF$28.0028 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.030.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x10h

P90 | Sunset Lily (Factory New)weapon · industrial$28.0028 CSGOBIG_COIN$12.3612.36 CSGOBIG_COIN0.44x10h

Sticker | KSCERATO (Glitter) | Rio 2022sticker · #8847FF$28.0028 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.340.34 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x10h

P90 | Sunset Lily (Factory New)weapon · industrial$28.0028 CSGOBIG_COIN$12.3612.36 CSGOBIG_COIN0.44x10h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$28.00	90.00%	20

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 0.1%epic 0.1%covert knife 0.9%#ffd700 0.5%covert 8.4%restricted 12.2%industrial 4.7%Restricted 7.5%#4B69FF 26.3%classified 9.4%Mil Spec 8.4%consumer 3.8%milspec 6.6%#8847FF 11.3%best hit —