20% Eye Of Horus
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$385.00
385 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $346.51 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
26.94%
2 openings, odds method
Variance
8.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
92.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 2 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire | 1 in 50 | $4,864 4,864 CSGOBIG_COIN | 28.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby | 1 in 50 | $4,729 4,729 CSGOBIG_COIN | 27.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald | 1 in 50 | $4,658 4,658 CSGOBIG_COIN | 26.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New)weapon · #eb4b4b | 1 in 50 | $1,781 1,781 CSGOBIG_COIN | 10.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert | 12.0% | $206 206 CSGOBIG_COIN | 7.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue | 80.0% | $1.44 1.44 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.3% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=174, 11 Nov, 12:47 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $385 | 90.00% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 18.0%#eb4b4b 2.0%blue 80.0%best hit —