20% Temukau
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$312.00
312 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $280.81 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
18.26%
12 openings, odds method
Variance
12.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 12 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $9,895 9,895 CSGOBIG_COIN | 35.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear)weapon · contraband | 1 in 100 | $4,274 4,274 CSGOBIG_COIN | 15.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New)weapon · #eb4b4b | 1 in 33 | $1,781 1,781 CSGOBIG_COIN | 19.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF | 1 in 20 | $1,027 1,027 CSGOBIG_COIN | 18.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $460 460 CSGOBIG_COIN | 8.2% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $218 218 CSGOBIG_COIN | 3.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec | 80.0% | $0.55 0.55 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.2% | 10 | 9.6 | 1.04× |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=177, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$312312 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.550.55 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$312312 CSGOBIG_COIN$460460 CSGOBIG_COIN1.47x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$312312 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.550.55 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspecZane👑readMYbio$312312 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.550.55 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$312312 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.550.55 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$312312 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.550.55 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspecKirbY$312312 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.550.55 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$312312 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.550.55 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$312312 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.550.55 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$312312 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.550.55 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $312 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 11.0%contraband 1.0%#eb4b4b 3.0%#4B69FF 5.0%milspec 80.0%best hit —