10% Quidditch Quive
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$572.00
572 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $514.81 from 17 items
Observed RTP, 30d
17.54%
24 openings, odds method
Variance
19.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 40
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 24 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=178, 11 Nov, 12:47 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Field-Tested)gloves · epic$572572 CSGOBIG_COIN$2,3972,397 CSGOBIG_COIN4.19x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Field-Tested)gloves · epic$572572 CSGOBIG_COIN$2,3972,397 CSGOBIG_COIN4.19x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $572 | 90.00% | 17 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 2.2%extraordinary 2.8%epic 5.0%consumer 90.0%best hit $2,397 (4.19x)