Sweet Summer
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$30.00
30 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $27.00 from 20 items
Observed RTP, 30d
5.13%
2 openings, odds method
Variance
7.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 2 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=18, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$30.0030 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.392.39 CSGOBIG_COIN0.08x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $30.00 | 90.00% | 20 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert knife 2.1%covert 26.2%epic 0.2%#EB4B4B 0.2%classified 7.6%sunny 2.0%industrial 3.3%restricted 11.4%#4B69FF 7.5%Mil Spec Grade 10.3%Consumer Grade 13.4%Restricted 2.2%#5E98D9 4.3%Rare 9.3%best hit —