Cyberpunk Chronicles
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$5.00
5 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $4.50 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
48.07%
53 openings, odds method
Variance
648.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 53 openings and 5.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 53 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=188, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.360.36 CSGOBIG_COIN0.07x
R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #B0C3D9osamabeenlaidin$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.170.17 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x
Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested)weapon · milspecBruder bin Laden$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.510.51 CSGOBIG_COIN0.10x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.00 | 90.00% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 4.6%pink 10.6%industrial 3.1%Common 1.6%#F2F8FF 13.6%#B0C3D9 43.8%Uncommon 6.1%milspec 16.5%best hit —