Steampunk Showpiece
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$5.00
5 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.15%
EV $4.51 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
36.94%
13 openings, odds method
Variance
36.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 13 openings and 2.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=189, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sticker | Renegades (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022sticker · 8$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.060.06 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
AUG | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.061.06 CSGOBIG_COIN0.21x
Sticker | Renegades (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022sticker · 8$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.060.06 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
Sticker | tabseN (Holo) | Antwerp 2022sticker · #D32CE6$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.580.58 CSGOBIG_COIN0.12x
AUG | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested)weapon · industrialKieran$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.061.06 CSGOBIG_COIN0.21x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.15%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.00 | 90.15% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed8 12.1%extraordinary 0.0%restricted 21.2%#D32CE6 15.2%classified 13.6%#B0C3D9 1.5%industrial 12.1%#4B69FF 7.6%high 16.6%best hit —