Underwater Odyssey
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$5.00
5 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $4.50 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.38%
24 openings, odds method
Variance
152.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
18.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 24 openings and 4.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=190, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ P250 | Ripple (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.460.46 CSGOBIG_COIN0.09x
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.630.63 CSGOBIG_COIN0.13x
Souvenir SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$11.0011 CSGOBIG_COIN2.20x
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.630.63 CSGOBIG_COIN0.13x
Souvenir SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$11.0011 CSGOBIG_COIN2.20x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.00 | 89.99% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%Legendary 1.6%#B0C3D9 16.6%#8847ff 9.1%Industrial 3.1%mil spec 21.2%Mil Spec Grade 13.6%milspec 27.3%#4b69ff 7.6%best hit —