Sci-Fi Starship

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$10.00

10 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $9.00 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d

132.31%

25 openings, odds method

Variance

56.4×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 13

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

88.9%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

25 openings · below min

30 days

25 openings · below min

since tracking started

25 openings · below min

-0.5%213.5%427.5%

Small sample. 25 openings and 2.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	25	132.31%±294.3	—	odds
30d	25	132.31%±294.3	—	odds
All	25	132.31%±294.3	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 25 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2	1 in 1,000	$2,351 2,351 CSGOBIG_COIN	26.1%	0	0.0	—
Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)weapon · covert · Phase 2	1 in 59	$66.08 66.08 CSGOBIG_COIN	12.4%	1	0.4	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient	1 in 16	$40.32 40.32 CSGOBIG_COIN	27.4%	4	1.5	2.61×
Souvenir MAC-10 \| Amber Fade (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF	1 in 32	$16.55 16.55 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.8%	3	0.8	—
R8 Revolver \| Fade (Well-Worn)weapon · red	1 in 22	$8.50 8.5 CSGOBIG_COIN	4.4%	1	1.2	0.86×
M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	16.5%	$4.00 4 CSGOBIG_COIN	7.3%	5	4.1	1.21×
StatTrak™ P250 \| Supernova (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	12.0%	$3.63 3.63 CSGOBIG_COIN	4.9%	2	3.0	0.66×
StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 11	$2.89 2.89 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.9%	1	2.3	0.44×
Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	10.6%	$2.50 2.5 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.9%	4	2.6	1.52×
Souvenir Sawed-Off \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF	13.5%	$2.35 2.35 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.5%	1	3.4	0.30×
Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	15.0%	$0.92 0.92 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.5%	3	3.7	0.80×
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Ventilators (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Rare	1 in 13	$0.85 0.85 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.7%	0	1.9	0.00×

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=192, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.352.35 CSGOBIG_COIN0.24x2d

Souvenir MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$16.5516.55 CSGOBIG_COIN1.66x2d

M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$4.004 CSGOBIG_COIN0.40x2d

Souvenir MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$16.5516.55 CSGOBIG_COIN1.66x2d

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.633.63 CSGOBIG_COIN0.36x2d

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.920.92 CSGOBIG_COIN0.09x2d

Tec-9 | Remote Control (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classifiedfuckermazer$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.502.5 CSGOBIG_COIN0.25x2d

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)weapon · covert · Phase 2$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$66.0866.08 CSGOBIG_COIN6.61x2d

Tec-9 | Remote Control (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.502.5 CSGOBIG_COIN0.25x2d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$10.00	90.00%	12

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 1.8%Ancient 6.1%#4B69FF 16.7%red 4.6%Rare 24.1%Mythical 27.0%restricted 9.1%classified 10.6%best hit —