City Skylines

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$10.00
10 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.15%
EV $9.01 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
49.35%
14 openings, odds method
Variance
72.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
22.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.2%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
14 openings · below min
30 days
14 openings · below min
since tracking started
14 openings · below min
-0.5%247.8%496.0%

Small sample. 14 openings and 3.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d1449.35%±445.9—odds
30d1449.35%±445.9—odds
All1449.35%±445.9—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · legendary1 in 1,000$2,693 2,693 CSGOBIG_COIN29.9%00.0—
Sticker | Natus Vincere | Katowice 2015sticker · violet1 in 16$24.11 24.11 CSGOBIG_COIN16.3%00.9—
Sticker | Leaving The Station (Holo)sticker · Remarkable16.6%$10.42 10.42 CSGOBIG_COIN19.2%22.30.86×
P250 | Hive (Factory New)weapon · milspec10.6%$9.76 9.76 CSGOBIG_COIN11.5%21.51.35×
FAMAS | Spitfire (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 32$9.50 9.5 CSGOBIG_COIN3.2%10.4—
Sticker | Sprout Esports (Gold) | Rio 2022sticker · #EB4B4B15.1%$5.02 5.02 CSGOBIG_COIN8.4%32.11.42×
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF12.1%$4.85 4.85 CSGOBIG_COIN6.5%01.70.00×
PP-Bizon | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear)weapon · #B0C3D913.6%$1.88 1.88 CSGOBIG_COIN2.8%11.90.53×
Sealed Graffiti | Fnatic | London 2018graffiti · #4B69FF1 in 13$1.70 1.7 CSGOBIG_COIN1.4%01.10.00×
Sealed Graffiti | Winged Defusergraffiti · Rare1 in 22$1.12 1.12 CSGOBIG_COIN0.6%10.6—
PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 63$0.84 0.84 CSGOBIG_COIN0.1%10.2—
Sawed-Off | Zander (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 11$0.11 0.11 CSGOBIG_COIN0.1%31.32.36×
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=193, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.840.84 CSGOBIG_COIN0.08x
P250 | Hive (Factory New)weapon · milspec$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$9.769.76 CSGOBIG_COIN0.98x
Sealed Graffiti | Winged Defusergraffiti · Rare$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.121.12 CSGOBIG_COIN0.11x
Sticker | Leaving The Station (Holo)sticker · Remarkable$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$10.4210.42 CSGOBIG_COIN1.04x
Sticker | Sprout Esports (Gold) | Rio 2022sticker · #EB4B4B$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$5.025.02 CSGOBIG_COIN0.50x
Sawed-Off | Zander (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.110.11 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
Sawed-Off | Zander (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.110.11 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
P250 | Hive (Factory New)weapon · milspecfuckermazer$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$9.769.76 CSGOBIG_COIN0.98x
Sticker | Leaving The Station (Holo)sticker · Remarkable$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$10.4210.42 CSGOBIG_COIN1.04x
Sawed-Off | Zander (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$10.0010 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.110.11 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.15%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$10.0090.15%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 0.1%violet 6.1%Remarkable 16.6%milspec 10.6%restricted 4.7%#EB4B4B 15.1%#8847FF 12.1%#B0C3D9 13.6%#4B69FF 7.6%Rare 13.7%best hit —