Champion's Court
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$20.00
20 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $18.00 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
50.90%
28 openings, odds method
Variance
40.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 200
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 28 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=198, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.890.89 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x
Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.890.89 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x
Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.890.89 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #D32CE6$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$42.7242.72 CSGOBIG_COIN2.14x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspecPepaRambo$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.393.39 CSGOBIG_COIN0.17x
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #D32CE6$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$42.7242.72 CSGOBIG_COIN2.14x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.00 | 90.00% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 6.5%#D32CE6 9.0%restricted 1.5%classified 15.1%milspec 46.7%mil spec 21.1%best hit —