Goalkeeper's Glory
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$20.00
20 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $18.00 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
65.44%
20 openings, odds method
Variance
23.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 20 openings and 2.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 22 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=199, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$15.7115.71 CSGOBIG_COIN0.79x
Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · blue$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$63.7063.7 CSGOBIG_COIN3.19x
Souvenir P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$41.0541.05 CSGOBIG_COIN2.05x
Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$4.854.85 CSGOBIG_COIN0.24x
StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.382.38 CSGOBIG_COIN0.12x
Souvenir P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$41.0541.05 CSGOBIG_COIN2.05x
MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$12.2112.21 CSGOBIG_COIN0.61x
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covertPepaRambo$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$15.7115.71 CSGOBIG_COIN0.79x
Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.890.89 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x
P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$20.0020 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.942.94 CSGOBIG_COIN0.15x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.00 | 90.00% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 4.6%covert 15.4%blue 3.2%#8847FF 9.0%mil spec 21.0%classified 18.1%Mil Spec Grade 6.1%restricted 12.0%#8847ff 10.5%best hit —