Deagle

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$26.00

26 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $23.40 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d

17.82%

6 openings, odds method

Variance

6.4×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 18

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

77.2%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

6 openings · below min

30 days

6 openings · below min

since tracking started

6 openings · below min

-0.5%110.3%221.0%

Small sample. 6 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	6	17.82%±202.5	—	odds
30d	6	17.82%±202.5	—	odds
All	6	17.82%±202.5	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare	1 in 200	$618 618 CSGOBIG_COIN	13.2%	0	0.0	—
Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · classified	1 in 200	$538 538 CSGOBIG_COIN	11.5%	0	0.0	—
Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 143	$317 317 CSGOBIG_COIN	9.5%	0	0.0	—
Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · classified	1 in 100	$177 177 CSGOBIG_COIN	7.6%	0	0.1	—
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 100	$117 117 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.0%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 50	$62.00 62 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.3%	0	0.1	—
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red	1 in 11	$41.98 41.98 CSGOBIG_COIN	16.6%	0	0.6	—
Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Grade	1 in 24	$29.01 29.01 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.2%	0	0.3	—
Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 27	$27.00 27 CSGOBIG_COIN	4.2%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 46	$22.93 22.93 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.1%	0	0.1	—
Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	12.3%	$16.19 16.19 CSGOBIG_COIN	8.5%	1	0.7	—
Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 12	$11.15 11.15 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.9%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	10.0%	$9.00 9 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.8%	1	0.6	—
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 14	$5.85 5.85 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.8%	0	0.4	—
Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	10.3%	$1.78 1.78 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.8%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 31	$1.43 1.43 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.2%	0	0.2	—
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 16	$1.00 1 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.3%	0	0.4	—
Desert Eagle \| Urban Rubble (Factory New)weapon · milspec	1 in 19	$0.96 0.96 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.2%	1	0.3	—
Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	11.3%	$0.55 0.55 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.3%	3	0.7	—
Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 86	$0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	0	0.1	—

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=20, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$26.0026 CSGOBIG_COIN$16.1916.19 CSGOBIG_COIN0.62x3d

Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn)weapon · blue$26.0026 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.550.55 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x3d

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$26.0026 CSGOBIG_COIN$9.009 CSGOBIG_COIN0.35x3d

Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Factory New)weapon · milspec$26.0026 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.960.96 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x6d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$26.00	90.00%	20

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrare 0.5%classified 17.6%restricted 17.9%covert 13.3%red 9.2%Industrial Grade 4.2%industrial 10.3%milspec 8.4%mil spec 6.2%blue 11.3%Rare 1.2%best hit —