Gridiron Grandstand

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$25.00
25 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $22.50 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.24%
12 openings, odds method
Variance
57.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 200
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
93.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
9 openings · below min
30 days
12 openings · below min
since tracking started
12 openings · below min
-0.5%259.0%518.5%

Small sample. 12 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d915.99%±495.0—odds
30d1289.24%±428.7—odds
All1289.24%±428.7—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 21 in 200$2,665 2,665 CSGOBIG_COIN59.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Autotronic (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 66$224 224 CSGOBIG_COIN15.0%10.2—
Sticker | Brehze (Gold) | Katowice 2019sticker · #EB4B4B1 in 22$46.00 46 CSGOBIG_COIN9.2%00.5—
Sticker | denis (Foil) | Boston 2018sticker · #8847FF1 in 11$10.50 10.5 CSGOBIG_COIN4.2%11.10.92×
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified10.6%$10.47 10.47 CSGOBIG_COIN4.9%21.31.58×
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 33$8.05 8.05 CSGOBIG_COIN1.1%00.4—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 13$6.30 6.3 CSGOBIG_COIN2.1%10.9—
Sticker | Luck Skill (Foil)sticker · Exotic12.1%$4.82 4.82 CSGOBIG_COIN2.6%01.40.00×
StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade16.6%$1.92 1.92 CSGOBIG_COIN1.4%32.01.51×
Sticker | Hello M4A1-Ssticker · #4B69FF13.6%$0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG_COIN0.2%21.61.23×
Sticker | aliStair (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022sticker · #8847FF1 in 17$0.08 0.08 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%20.7—
Sticker | YEKINDAR | Paris 2023sticker · #F2F8FF15.1%$0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%01.80.00×
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=200, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$25.0025 CSGOBIG_COIN$10.4710.47 CSGOBIG_COIN0.42x
StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$25.0025 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.921.92 CSGOBIG_COIN0.08x
Sticker | aliStair (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022sticker · #8847FF$25.0025 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.080.08 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Hello M4A1-Ssticker · #4B69FF$25.0025 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.270.27 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
Sticker | aliStair (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022sticker · #8847FF$25.0025 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.080.08 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
Sticker | denis (Foil) | Boston 2018sticker · #8847FFkisu$25.0025 CSGOBIG_COIN$10.5010.5 CSGOBIG_COIN0.42x
Sticker | Hello M4A1-Ssticker · #4B69FF$25.0025 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.270.27 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$25.0025 CSGOBIG_COIN$10.4710.47 CSGOBIG_COIN0.42x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$25.0089.99%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.5%covert knife 1.5%#EB4B4B 4.5%#8847FF 15.1%classified 13.6%restricted 7.5%Exotic 12.1%Mil Spec Grade 16.6%#4B69FF 13.6%#F2F8FF 15.1%best hit —