Surf And Turf
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$50.00
50 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $45.00 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
17.89%
17 openings, odds method
Variance
29.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 100
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 17 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 17 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=202, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$7.097.09 CSGOBIG_COIN0.14x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$45.5645.56 CSGOBIG_COIN0.91x
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.920.92 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x
Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New)weapon · light blue$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.230.23 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$45.5645.56 CSGOBIG_COIN0.91x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $50.00 | 90.00% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 17.5%classified 9.0%restricted 1.5%#B0C3D9 12.0%mil spec 10.5%Mil Spec Grade 21.0%#4b69ff 21.0%light blue 4.5%milspec 3.0%best hit —