High-Flyer's Hangar
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$50.00
50 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.02%
EV $45.01 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
58.40%
59 openings, odds method
Variance
20.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 59 openings and 2.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 59 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=203, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.161.16 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$7.137.13 CSGOBIG_COIN0.14x
Souvenir G3SG1 | Polar Camo (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.671.67 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x
Sticker | Astralis (Holo) | Katowice 2019sticker · Remarkable$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$5.805.8 CSGOBIG_COIN0.12x
Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Factory New)weapon · milspecRassel$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.880.88 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · covert · Phase 1$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$218218 CSGOBIG_COIN4.36x
Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Factory New)weapon · milspec$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.880.88 CSGOBIG_COIN0.02x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.02%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $50.00 | 90.02% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 1.0%covert 3.0%covert knife 7.5%#EB4B4B 6.0%restricted 9.0%Remarkable 13.5%Restricted 1.5%Consumer Grade 12.0%Mil Spec Grade 15.0%milspec 16.5%Rare 10.5%#8847FF 4.5%best hit —