Mythical Menagerie
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$75.00
75 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.02%
EV $67.51 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
186.41%
2 openings, odds method
Variance
37.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 28
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 2 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=208, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert$75.0075 CSGOBIG_COIN$140140 CSGOBIG_COIN1.86x
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert$75.0075 CSGOBIG_COIN$140140 CSGOBIG_COIN1.86x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.02%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $75.00 | 90.02% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.5%covert 4.5%Covert 16.6%#4B69FF 4.5%#F2F8FF 6.0%blue 7.5%Rare 13.6%mil spec 21.1%restricted 15.1%milspec 10.6%best hit —