Zen Garden
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$100.00
100 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $90.00 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.77%
6 openings, odds method
Variance
51.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 6 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=211, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Grade$100100 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.270.27 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$100100 CSGOBIG_COIN$114114 CSGOBIG_COIN1.14x
★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife$100100 CSGOBIG_COIN$96.0096 CSGOBIG_COIN0.96x
MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)weapon · Consumer Grade$100100 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.030.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$100100 CSGOBIG_COIN$351351 CSGOBIG_COIN3.51x
Negev | Nuclear Waste (Well-Worn)weapon · #5E98D9@jordanr$100100 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.351.35 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $100 | 90.00% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 7.8%covert knife 22.7%classified 10.6%mil spec 1.5%#5E98D9 16.6%High Grade 10.6%Industrial Grade 12.1%#B0C3D9 15.1%Consumer Grade 3.0%best hit —