Enchanted Library

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$125.00

125 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $112.50 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d

64.42%

10 openings, odds method

Variance

30.9×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 50

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

93.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

4 openings · below min

7 days

10 openings · below min

30 days

10 openings · below min

since tracking started

10 openings · below min

-0.5%350.3%701.0%

Small sample. 10 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	4	155.55%±544.7	—	odds
7d	10	64.42%±344.5	—	odds
30d	10	64.42%±344.5	—	odds
All	10	64.42%±344.5	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)weapon · legendary	1 in 200	$9,559 9,559 CSGOBIG_COIN	42.5%	0	0.1	—
★ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · rare	1 in 66	$1,077 1,077 CSGOBIG_COIN	14.5%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 22	$669 669 CSGOBIG_COIN	26.9%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 13	$55.34 55.34 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.7%	1	0.8	—
Souvenir PP-Bizon \| Night Ops (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9	1 in 17	$52.95 52.95 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.8%	1	0.6	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	13.6%	$51.32 51.32 CSGOBIG_COIN	6.2%	0	1.4	0.00×
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Fade (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 11	$26.00 26 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.1%	1	0.9	—
Souvenir P2000 \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF	16.6%	$8.27 8.27 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.2%	0	1.7	0.00×
UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 33	$0.86 0.86 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	1	0.3	—
Dual Berettas \| Dualing Dragons (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	12.1%	$0.39 0.39 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	0	1.2	0.00×
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Night Riot (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	10.6%	$0.23 0.23 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	1	1.1	0.95×
R8 Revolver \| Night (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer Grade	15.1%	$0.17 0.17 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	4	1.5	2.65×

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=213, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$125125 CSGOBIG_COIN$669669 CSGOBIG_COIN5.35x20h

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9$125125 CSGOBIG_COIN$52.9552.95 CSGOBIG_COIN0.42x20h

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$125125 CSGOBIG_COIN$669669 CSGOBIG_COIN5.35x20h

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$125125 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.230.23 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x20h

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$125125 CSGOBIG_COIN$55.3455.34 CSGOBIG_COIN0.44x20h

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$125125 CSGOBIG_COIN$26.0026 CSGOBIG_COIN0.21x2d

R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer Grade$125125 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.170.17 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x2d

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$125125 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.860.86 CSGOBIG_COIN0.01x2d

R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer Grade$125125 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.170.17 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x2d

R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer GradePropagandapandafromuganda$125125 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.170.17 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x2d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$125	90.00%	12

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 0.5%rare 1.5%covert knife 4.5%mil spec 19.6%#5E98D9 6.0%covert 22.6%#8847FF 16.6%restricted 3.0%Mil Spec Grade 10.6%Consumer Grade 15.1%best hit $669 (5.35x)