Abstract Artistry
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$3.00
3 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.34%
EV $2.71 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
100.37%
38 openings, odds method
Variance
333.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 22
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 38 openings and 1.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 38 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=219, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sealed Graffiti | Denied (Battle Green)graffiti · #B0C3D9$3.003 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.240.24 CSGOBIG_COIN0.08x
StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF$3.003 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.320.32 CSGOBIG_COIN0.11x
M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Field-Tested)weapon · light blueDrepound$3.003 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.350.35 CSGOBIG_COIN0.12x
Sealed Graffiti | Happy Cat (Dust Brown)graffiti · #B0C3D9$3.003 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.080.08 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x
Sealed Graffiti | Happy Cat (Dust Brown)graffiti · #B0C3D9$3.003 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.080.08 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.34%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.00 | 90.34% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.0%#F2F8FF 12.1%#4B69FF 16.7%#8847ff 3.0%#4b69ff 9.1%Mil Spec 13.6%restricted 16.6%light blue 15.1%#B0C3D9 13.6%best hit —