Vintage Vinyl
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$5.00
5 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.15%
EV $4.51 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
114.60%
7 openings, odds method
Variance
121.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 16
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
89.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 7 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=220, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Lumen (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.133.13 CSGOBIG_COIN0.63x
Souvenir MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.252.25 CSGOBIG_COIN0.45x
CZ75-Auto | Green Plaid (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer Grade$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$1.551.55 CSGOBIG_COIN0.31x
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN$30.0030 CSGOBIG_COIN6.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.15%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.00 | 90.15% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.0%restricted 25.8%#4B69FF 39.2%Classified 3.1%Consumer Grade 13.5%#5E98D9 9.1%Common 7.6%#8847ff 1.7%best hit —